Trading Journal (GBPJPY)

I've short GBPJPY @147.20, SL @148.20, TP @142.50 (S3 Daily Pivot Points)
My reasons are:

  • Main trend is downtrend.
  • Prices have touched red-trendline @H1 and prices closed below it.
  • Blue-trendline has been broken @H4 and prices closed below it.

120509h1entry
Closed with lost -100pips

Trading Journal

read more...

Daily Pivot Points

S3 S2 S1 P R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.34301.34961.35731.36031.36491.37131.3759
USD/JPY 95.4396.3496.9797.8898.5199.42100.05
GBP/USD 1.48661.49671.50431.51441.52201.53211.5397
GBP/JPY 142.50144.61146.08148.19149.66151.77153.24

Weekly Pivot Points

S3 S2 S1 P R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.29021.30571.33451.35001.37881.39431.4231
USD/JPY 96.0296.9797.8598.8099.68100.63101.51
GBP/USD 1.45491.46911.49521.50941.53551.54971.5758
GBP/JPY 143.87145.41147.80149.34151.74153.27155.67

Monthly Pivot Points

S3 S2 S1 P R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.21951.25401.28921.32371.35891.39341.4286
USD/JPY 90.0392.8295.8598.64101.67104.46107.49
GBP/USD 1.35661.39191.43601.47131.51541.55071.5948
GBP/JPY 127.25133.12139.75145.62152.25158.12164.75
Note:

Pivot points are very useful tools that use the previous bars' highs, lows and closings to project support and resistance levels for future bars. Daily pivot points are useful for swing trading. Longer term pivot points provide an idea of where key support and resistance levels should be. Place the pivot points on your charts and see how traders appear to give pivot point levels a lot of respect. Daily pivots are calculated from previous day's high, low, close which ends at 24.00 GMT.

read more...

Trading Strategy

GBPJPY

My trading journal this week is not different with my review last week.
But I have modified down-channel at daily chart to get better channel.
From charts below, I see that trend is still downtrend and then I am still waiting for confirmation @ H4 to set up short entry. If direction is changed, I have buy setup above purple line.
120509w1 120509d1 120509h4
Trading Plan :
  • Sell when prices close below blue-trend line @ H4.
  • Buy, if direction is changed and prices go to north, buy when prices close above purple-line @ daily.
  • Set stoploss as I can find support or resistance area @ H4 and set my target @ lime-line (167.29) for buying and set @ red-line (128.16) for selling.

Trading Strategy

read more...

Trading Strategy

GBPJPY

Trading Journal this week...

If we see chart at weekly, we know that trend is still downtrend.

Now, prices are still below upper channel.

At smaller time frames like H4, H1, and M30 we can see there is bearish divergence.

040509w1

040509d1

040509h4

040509h1

040509m30



Trading Plan :

Now, I am trying to make short entry and still waiting for good time to entry. I think there is good time to sell when lower channel at H1 and M30 is break out.

But, I should wait for completed candlestick pattern at daily chart. I will wait for next days to avoid false-breakout and search good stoploss for entry.

Trading Strategy

read more...

Trading Strategy

GBPJPY

This Trading Journal is taken from my other's blog.

This week, prices loss its power again to close above 141.71. Altough at daily (D1) prices can close above that level but at weekly prices closed @ 140.01 and makes false-breakout at weekly chart.

Based on analysis above, trend can go down and touch support-line.

280409w1 280409d1

Trading plan :
  1. Ranging, prices just moved between bold trendline (blue) and dotted trendline (blue). Buy when prices close above bold trendline and Sell when prices close below dotted trendline. Use candlestick pattern at H4 as confirmation.
  2. Breakout, Buy when prices close above dotted trendline (blue) and Sell when prices close below bold trendline (blue). It's better waiting for completed chart at weekly for confirmation to avoid false-breakout at daily.

Trading Strategy

read more...